Sunday, April 08, 2007

Reality. TV.

"TELEVISION IS NOT REAL LIFE. IN REAL LIFE, PEOPLE ACTUALLY HAVE TO LEAVE THE COFFEE SHOP, AND GO TO JOBS." Bill Gates

Right on Bill...and last Friday, the Department of Labor reported that another 180,000 Americans left the coffee shops and found jobs during the month of March, with another 32,000 jobs added to prior month's reports. The Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.4%, matching the lowest rate in six years - and Average Hourly Earnings were up as well, rising to $17.22 per hour. So it was all good news for the US job market...but bad news for home loan rates, since a strong labor market can lead to inflation, the arch-enemy of Bonds and home loan rates. On the release, Bond prices slipped lower, causing home loan rates to rise slightly across the board.

And the Fed was watching too...remember that the pop in new job formations and stronger wages creates that risk of further inflation ahead, and this news comes on the heels of a higher read on inflation from the Fed's most closely watched indicator - The Personal Consumption Expenditure Index. So, despite the media and many "so called" experts saying the Fed has to cut rates soon - don't expect a cut in the near future, as the Fed's main priority is controlling inflation.

No comments: